The One Lab
SCORECARDARENASDISCOVERYFOUNDATIONSFOR AGENTS

The 24 Housing / Canada locks are historical governed records issued under hold.

They remain visible and immutable, but are excluded from the current registered Canada intelligence report, its calculations, and any future institutional product track record.

03 / THE PROOF LEDGER

Every governed vintage, classified and preserved.

This ledger preserves every claim committed before its outcome existed. Record class determines whether a row belongs to the prospective track record or is retained as governed history; the two are never silently combined into a product claim.

Misses are never removed. No arena is excluded for underperformance.

Nothing here has been graded yet. Prospective records are waiting on the official figures they will be judged against; the Canada rows are preserved historical records issued under hold. This page does not report accuracy, and the historical Canada cohort will not be used to manufacture an institutional track record.

IN LEDGER174
GRADED0
MISSES0
MISS RATENOT PUBLISHED — not published at arena level — rates are per series and horizon

There is no arena-wide miss rate on this site, and there will not be one. Every series is forecast at three, six and twelve months, so a rate pooled across the arena counts each month three times over — a bigger sample does not fix that, it multiplies it. Rates publish per series and horizon, where each month is forecast once, and only once a cohort has 12 distinct realized months behind it. When one does, it publishes with a 95% interval, never as a bare number.

WHAT COUNTS AS A MISS

A miss here does not mean we were badly wrong. It means the real figure landed outside the range we published with the forecast — and we publish that range before the answer exists, so it is a promise about how uncertain we said we were. That makes this a test of honesty about uncertainty, not a test of accuracy. It also means MISSES ARE SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN: if we publish a range we say is right 80% of the time, then about 20% of forecasts should miss it. Far fewer misses than that is not us doing well — it means our ranges are too wide to be saying much, which is easy to do and would flatter us. That is why the average width of those ranges is published beside the miss rate, in the same row: a better-looking miss rate bought with vaguer forecasts shows up in the number right next to it.

ARENA
GRADE
ISSUED
174 OF 174 VINTAGES · ARENA ALL · GRADE ALL · ISSUED ALL
VINTAGEARENA / RECORD CLASSSUBJECTFORECASTREALIZEDERRORTARGET PERIODEXPECTED VERDICTGRADE
07524582Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.79%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
558b11b5Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.29%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
e30bbf49Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.11%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
12bddfb4Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.81%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
bd4c3d4bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.41%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
39fcc28bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.20%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
d4d5dbfaHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
636d8b51Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
aa99f4ecHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
e6191604Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+2.18%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
8f0526a1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+1.06%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
ccfaa251Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.56%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
c479a104Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+3.56%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
d1245820Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+1.76%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
39351720Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.88%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
bc91e69dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
9795b2aaHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
047b8098Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
60b39a79Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+1.63%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
5fa6770fHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+0.81%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
75e9f91aHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+0.41%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
742fd570Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+2.24%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
a7a65b00Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+1.11%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
cad0353dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+0.56%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
342a20f1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States−0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
5f6d81f0Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States−0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d12f0c2bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States−0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
409ed8d9Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+1.69%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
a3add3d6Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.81%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
60cfdf23Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.39%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
795058fdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+1.90%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
de1f74aeHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.95%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
183b71b0Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.47%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
e920d3b1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
85c81d40Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
b507cb72Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
78ca71c0Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.78%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
0ac95c47Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.43%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
fd32acd6Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.17%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
6c55adbfHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.32%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
71a72febHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.16%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d6a66adaHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.08%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
4875f389Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
00bca2a7Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
91b06395Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
7a6f73ceHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+3.04%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
138918e1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+1.50%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
6502d5e2Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+0.77%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
ac145020Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+3.87%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
0081ce9cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+1.92%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
8a98a6b6Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+0.95%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
1cf3f0e6Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
d414cd13Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
4cf1d809Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
472df780Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+1.29%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
4d1f04cbHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.60%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
3f61e661Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.24%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
8c202bacHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.79%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
2ad72975Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.40%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
dcbc4489Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.20%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
4aa543e3Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain−0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
0c1daff8Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain−0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
ebc36c89Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain−0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
9675249cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+2.81%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
31b3224dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+1.41%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
cf75f32bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.67%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
b7f71532Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+4.52%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
7984e5caHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+2.24%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
cf72ef78Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+1.11%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
a585a18bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
16bb8075Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
904244c2Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
2adbe290Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+2.04%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
6ebed965Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+1.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
38c9f1cbHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.42%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
2f52c80fHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+2.89%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
d8c146beHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+1.44%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
b6bebff8Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.72%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
9be52b6cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
2b65bcc4Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
53bd4f5cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
5915ab30Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+2.40%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
60ae3cd5Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+1.26%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d2de3404Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+0.66%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
a0d444d1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+4.01%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
4c5807bfHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+1.98%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
98536c48Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+0.99%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
695d51f8Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central−0.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
8f5cd178Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central−0.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
bf171159Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central−0.00%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
0370ffcdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+1.57%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
35b8aa5eHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.47%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
fb1abc3fHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.12%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
61d746daHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+3.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
0654dd39Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+1.44%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
837da57dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.81%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
43a9122eHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+2.68%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
6884541cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+1.33%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
77c79ab8Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+0.68%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
22e4850fHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+3.20%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
fa4170f5Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+1.49%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
8268eb50Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.69%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
594fcbc5Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−2.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
e7a9f5cdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−1.14%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
730a0c51Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.44%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
4213a552Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+5.31%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
801ea673Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+2.61%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
c1ea604cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+1.37%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
4f6efddfHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+3.11%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
76056efdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+1.41%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
11051e0cHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.53%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
ea986197Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+3.97%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
a24a10ceHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+2.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
6387cfd2Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.89%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
5bc0ef74Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+3.26%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
f6eb647eHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+1.56%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
7a79f036Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.56%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
36b1aacaHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+3.23%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
3c177539Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+1.81%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
b5801731Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+0.99%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
575a136eHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Winnipeg CMA+3.22%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
cedb0436Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Winnipeg CMA+1.48%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d6c82e3eHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Winnipeg CMA+0.66%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
ff1ee75fHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Vancouver CMA−1.73%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
a1086239Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Vancouver CMA−1.43%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d67e1b39Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Vancouver CMA−0.90%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
69bad65fHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Toronto CMA−0.88%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
3cd44fa7Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Toronto CMA−0.81%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
16c3ccf2Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Toronto CMA−0.49%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
dad4904dHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Québec CMA+2.62%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
7c8626beHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Québec CMA+1.26%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
880e2b40Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Québec CMA+0.56%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
334dd226Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Montréal CMA+1.99%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
74b2a639Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Montréal CMA+0.86%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
b70d532cHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Montréal CMA+0.49%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
d3e8bcceHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Edmonton CMA+0.90%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
4ff79aaeHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Edmonton CMA+0.14%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
f4682b44Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Edmonton CMA−0.23%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
03be6caaHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Canada−0.21%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
849a1e4fHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Canada−0.36%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
016fcb80Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Canada−0.18%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
dfd721d0Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Calgary CMA+2.07%——Jun 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
77579f1dHousing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Calgary CMA+0.83%——Dec 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
bd9aaa34Housing / Canada
HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD
Calgary CMA+0.17%——Sep 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
79c5ba1eHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+1.57%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
146cfaf0Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.47%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
30bd22cfHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West South Central+0.12%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
3ed0fbb7Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+3.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
f25b7a77Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+1.44%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
6d7ad9bdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
West North Central+0.81%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
b1d86293Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+2.68%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
e1e174c7Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+1.33%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
2595606dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
United States+0.68%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
f602c510Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+3.20%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
276a3098Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+1.49%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
34ec67fdHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
South Atlantic+0.69%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
73207311Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−2.00%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
ab566341Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−1.14%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
4d8f88e0Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Pacific−0.44%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
9c8abc48Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+5.31%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
7a5b4654Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+2.61%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
7053e6c1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
New England+1.37%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
1b41ce55Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+3.11%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
c699e4b6Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+1.41%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
ff01986bHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Mountain+0.53%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
d411b483Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+3.97%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
7399c8f1Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+2.00%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
19075ba8Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
Middle Atlantic+0.89%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
54a1ef5aHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+3.26%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
ceb0870dHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+1.56%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
d02994e2Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East South Central+0.56%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
2339d9ebHousing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+3.23%——May 2027~Jul 2027PENDING
a720b478Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+1.81%——Nov 2026~Jan 2027PENDING
57f28975Housing / US
FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD
East North Central+0.99%——Aug 2026~Oct 2026PENDING
INSUFFICIENT DATA
No vintage in the ledger matches this combination. That is a fact about the record, not a loading state.
SORTED BY LOCK TIME, DESCENDING · ROW → VINTAGE DETAIL · BACKTEST RESULTS ARE NOT IN THIS TABLE

TARGET PERIOD is the month a forecast is about; EXPECTED VERDICT is roughly when the statistics agency publishes that month's figure and the forecast can be graded. The gap between them is the publisher's reporting lag, not ours, and the tilde is there because they set that calendar. A forecast whose target period has passed is waiting, not overdue.

SEAM · EVERYTHING BELOW WAS FITTED AFTER THE FACTNOT A FORWARD RECORD
04 / MIGRATED BACKTEST HISTORY
READ THIS BEFORE THE NUMBER BELOW IT

These are backtest results, migrated from v1 and shown as counts. They were fitted after the fact against data that already existed, so they are not evidence that a forecast made in advance will be right. They are never added to, averaged with, or shown as continuous with the forward ledger above.

Their completeness is unmeasured. v1 graded where its loop ran and matured, and no committed artifact states coverage per model, horizon or series — so an ungraded forecast in this set is not a miss, and the denominator of any rate over it is unestablished. One grade per forecast was additionally selected by physical row order during a 2026-06-20 dedup. That is why a count appears below and no rate does: not because the rate is unflattering, but because it would not mean anything.

INSUFFICIENT DATA
No migrated backtest history could be read. This says nothing about whether any exists.
COUNTS ONLY · NO RATE OVER THESE GRADES RENDERS UNTIL THE 2026-06-20 DEDUP IS SHOWN LOSSLESS AND PER-COHORT COVERAGE IS REPORTED
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The One Lab · Toronto · Every number on this site resolves to a primary source or a graded model output. Where it can't, we say so.FORWARD LEDGER · 174 LOCKED · 0 GRADED