The One Lab
SCORECARD ARENAS DISCOVERY FOUNDATIONS FOR AGENTS
SAMPLE Design fixtures. Figures are a fixed sample series, not graded model output.
03 / THE LEDGER

Every forward vintage, graded or waiting.

Misses are never removed. No arena is excluded for underperformance.
IN LEDGER 24
GRADED 16
MISSES 6
MISS RATE 37.5%
ARENA
GRADE
ISSUED
24 OF 24 VINTAGES · ARENA ALL · GRADE ALL · ISSUED ALL
VINTAGE ARENA SUBJECT FORECAST REALIZED ERROR RESOLVES GRADE
hca-2026-06-01 Housing / CA Toronto CMA +3.84% 2027-06-01 PENDING
qnt-2026-07-01 Quant US large-cap momentum +1.20% 2026-10-01 PENDING
hus-2026-06-01 Housing / US Phoenix MSA +2.40% 2027-06-01 PENDING
geo-2026-05-01 Geospatial Fraser delta land use 4 parcels 2027-05-01 PENDING
fst-2026-04-01 Fin. Stability CA bank credit stress LOW 2027-04-01 PENDING
hca-2026-03-01 Housing / CA Vancouver CMA +2.90% 2027-03-01 PENDING
mne-2026-02-01 Mine Design Pit 4 recovery 86.0% 2027-08-01 PENDING
qnt-2026-01-01 Quant Value spread reversal +0.60% +0.14% −0.46 2026-04-01 PASS
hus-2025-12-01 Housing / US Austin MSA −1.10% 2026-12-01 PENDING
qnt-2025-10-01 Quant Small-cap quality +2.30% −0.90% −3.20 2026-01-01 MISS
hca-2025-08-01 Housing / CA Vancouver CMA +2.10% +2.44% +0.34 2026-08-01 PASS
hus-2025-07-01 Housing / US Miami MSA +3.30% +2.95% −0.35 2026-07-01 PASS
hca-2025-06-01 Housing / CA Calgary CMA +5.10% +1.62% −3.48 2026-06-01 MISS
qnt-2025-06-01 Quant Carry basket +1.80% +2.05% +0.25 2025-09-01 PASS
hus-2025-05-01 Housing / US Denver MSA +1.40% +1.71% +0.31 2026-05-01 PASS
hca-2025-04-01 Housing / CA Montréal CMA +4.60% +4.05% −0.55 2026-04-01 PASS
fst-2025-04-01 Fin. Stability US regional bank stress ELEVATED ELEVATED 0 2026-04-01 PASS
hus-2025-03-01 Housing / US Seattle MSA +0.90% +3.60% +2.70 2026-03-01 MISS
hca-2025-02-01 Housing / CA Ottawa–Gatineau +1.90% +2.31% +0.41 2026-02-01 PASS
qnt-2025-02-01 Quant Sector rotation +0.40% −1.35% −1.75 2025-05-01 MISS
hca-2025-01-01 Housing / CA Halifax CMA −0.80% +2.95% +3.75 2026-01-01 MISS
hus-2025-01-01 Housing / US Chicago MSA +1.60% +1.42% −0.18 2026-01-01 PASS
qnt-2024-11-01 Quant Low-vol overlay +0.90% +1.02% +0.12 2025-02-01 PASS
qnt-2024-09-01 Quant Trend continuation +1.50% −0.20% −1.70 2024-12-01 MISS
INSUFFICIENT DATA
No vintage in the ledger matches this combination. That is a fact about the record, not a loading state.
SORTED BY ISSUE DATE, DESCENDING · ROW → VINTAGE DETAIL · BACKTEST RESULTS ARE NOT IN THIS TABLE
SEAM · BACKTEST RESULTS LIVE ON THE ARENA PAGES, NEVER IN THIS LEDGER VIEW BACKTESTS →
The One Lab · Toronto · Every number on this site resolves to a primary source or a graded model output. Where it can't, we say so. LEDGER SNAPSHOT 2026-08-01 · SAMPLE