The 24 Housing / Canada locks are historical governed records issued under hold.
They remain visible and immutable, but are excluded from the current registered Canada intelligence report, its calculations, and any future institutional product track record.
This ledger preserves every claim committed before its outcome existed. Record class determines whether a row belongs to the prospective track record or is retained as governed history; the two are never silently combined into a product claim.
Nothing here has been graded yet. Prospective records are waiting on the official figures they will be judged against; the Canada rows are preserved historical records issued under hold. This page does not report accuracy, and the historical Canada cohort will not be used to manufacture an institutional track record.
There is no arena-wide miss rate on this site, and there will not be one. Every series is forecast at three, six and twelve months, so a rate pooled across the arena counts each month three times over — a bigger sample does not fix that, it multiplies it. Rates publish per series and horizon, where each month is forecast once, and only once a cohort has 12 distinct realized months behind it. When one does, it publishes with a 95% interval, never as a bare number.
A miss here does not mean we were badly wrong. It means the real figure landed outside the range we published with the forecast — and we publish that range before the answer exists, so it is a promise about how uncertain we said we were. That makes this a test of honesty about uncertainty, not a test of accuracy. It also means MISSES ARE SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN: if we publish a range we say is right 80% of the time, then about 20% of forecasts should miss it. Far fewer misses than that is not us doing well — it means our ranges are too wide to be saying much, which is easy to do and would flatter us. That is why the average width of those ranges is published beside the miss rate, in the same row: a better-looking miss rate bought with vaguer forecasts shows up in the number right next to it.
{
"endpoint": "/v1/vintages?arena=all&grade=all&issued_year=all",
"count": 174,
"total": 174,
"rows": [
{
"id": "07524582",
"arena": "Housing / US",
"subject": "West South Central",
"forecast": "+0.79%",
"realized": null,
"error": null,
"grade": "pending"
},
{
"id": "558b11b5",
"arena": "Housing / US",
"subject": "West South Central",
"forecast": "+0.29%",
"realized": null,
"error": null,
"grade": "pending"
},
{
"id": "e30bbf49",
"arena": "Housing / US",
"subject": "West South Central",
"forecast": "+0.11%",
"realized": null,
"error": null,
"grade": "pending"
}
]
}| VINTAGE | ARENA / RECORD CLASS | SUBJECT | FORECAST | REALIZED | ERROR | TARGET PERIOD | EXPECTED VERDICT | GRADE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07524582 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.79% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 558b11b5 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.29% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| e30bbf49 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.11% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 12bddfb4 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.81% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| bd4c3d4b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.41% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 39fcc28b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.20% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| d4d5dbfa | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 636d8b51 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| aa99f4ec | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| e6191604 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +2.18% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 8f0526a1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +1.06% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| ccfaa251 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.56% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| c479a104 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +3.56% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| d1245820 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +1.76% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 39351720 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.88% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| bc91e69d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 9795b2aa | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 047b8098 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 60b39a79 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +1.63% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 5fa6770f | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +0.81% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 75e9f91a | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +0.41% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 742fd570 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +2.24% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| a7a65b00 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +1.11% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| cad0353d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +0.56% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 342a20f1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | −0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 5f6d81f0 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | −0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d12f0c2b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | −0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 409ed8d9 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +1.69% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| a3add3d6 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.81% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 60cfdf23 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.39% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 795058fd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +1.90% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| de1f74ae | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.95% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 183b71b0 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.47% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| e920d3b1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 85c81d40 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| b507cb72 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 78ca71c0 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.78% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 0ac95c47 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.43% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| fd32acd6 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.17% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 6c55adbf | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.32% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 71a72feb | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.16% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d6a66ada | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.08% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 4875f389 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 00bca2a7 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 91b06395 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 7a6f73ce | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +3.04% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 138918e1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +1.50% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 6502d5e2 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +0.77% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| ac145020 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +3.87% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 0081ce9c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +1.92% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 8a98a6b6 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +0.95% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 1cf3f0e6 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| d414cd13 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 4cf1d809 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 472df780 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +1.29% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 4d1f04cb | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.60% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 3f61e661 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.24% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 8c202bac | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.79% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 2ad72975 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.40% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| dcbc4489 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.20% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 4aa543e3 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | −0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 0c1daff8 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | −0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| ebc36c89 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | −0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 9675249c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +2.81% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 31b3224d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +1.41% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| cf75f32b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.67% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| b7f71532 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +4.52% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 7984e5ca | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +2.24% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| cf72ef78 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +1.11% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| a585a18b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 16bb8075 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 904244c2 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 2adbe290 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +2.04% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 6ebed965 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +1.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 38c9f1cb | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.42% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 2f52c80f | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +2.89% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| d8c146be | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +1.44% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| b6bebff8 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.72% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 9be52b6c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 2b65bcc4 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 53bd4f5c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 5915ab30 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +2.40% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 60ae3cd5 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +1.26% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d2de3404 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +0.66% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| a0d444d1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +4.01% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 4c5807bf | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +1.98% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 98536c48 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +0.99% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 695d51f8 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | −0.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 8f5cd178 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | −0.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| bf171159 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | −0.00% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 0370ffcd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +1.57% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 35b8aa5e | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.47% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| fb1abc3f | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.12% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 61d746da | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +3.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 0654dd39 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +1.44% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 837da57d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.81% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 43a9122e | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +2.68% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 6884541c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +1.33% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 77c79ab8 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +0.68% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 22e4850f | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +3.20% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| fa4170f5 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +1.49% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 8268eb50 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.69% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 594fcbc5 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −2.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| e7a9f5cd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −1.14% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 730a0c51 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.44% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 4213a552 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +5.31% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 801ea673 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +2.61% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| c1ea604c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +1.37% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 4f6efddf | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +3.11% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 76056efd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +1.41% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 11051e0c | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.53% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| ea986197 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +3.97% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| a24a10ce | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +2.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 6387cfd2 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.89% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 5bc0ef74 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +3.26% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| f6eb647e | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +1.56% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 7a79f036 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.56% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 36b1aaca | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +3.23% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 3c177539 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +1.81% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| b5801731 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +0.99% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 575a136e | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Winnipeg CMA | +3.22% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| cedb0436 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Winnipeg CMA | +1.48% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d6c82e3e | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Winnipeg CMA | +0.66% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| ff1ee75f | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Vancouver CMA | −1.73% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| a1086239 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Vancouver CMA | −1.43% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d67e1b39 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Vancouver CMA | −0.90% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 69bad65f | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Toronto CMA | −0.88% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 3cd44fa7 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Toronto CMA | −0.81% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 16c3ccf2 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Toronto CMA | −0.49% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| dad4904d | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Québec CMA | +2.62% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 7c8626be | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Québec CMA | +1.26% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 880e2b40 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Québec CMA | +0.56% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 334dd226 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Montréal CMA | +1.99% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 74b2a639 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Montréal CMA | +0.86% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| b70d532c | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Montréal CMA | +0.49% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| d3e8bcce | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Edmonton CMA | +0.90% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 4ff79aae | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Edmonton CMA | +0.14% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| f4682b44 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Edmonton CMA | −0.23% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 03be6caa | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Canada | −0.21% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 849a1e4f | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Canada | −0.36% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 016fcb80 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Canada | −0.18% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| dfd721d0 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Calgary CMA | +2.07% | — | — | Jun 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 77579f1d | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Calgary CMA | +0.83% | — | — | Dec 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| bd9aaa34 | Housing / Canada HISTORICAL · ISSUED UNDER HOLD | Calgary CMA | +0.17% | — | — | Sep 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 79c5ba1e | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +1.57% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 146cfaf0 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.47% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 30bd22cf | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West South Central | +0.12% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 3ed0fbb7 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +3.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| f25b7a77 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +1.44% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 6d7ad9bd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | West North Central | +0.81% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| b1d86293 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +2.68% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| e1e174c7 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +1.33% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 2595606d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | United States | +0.68% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| f602c510 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +3.20% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 276a3098 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +1.49% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 34ec67fd | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | South Atlantic | +0.69% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 73207311 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −2.00% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| ab566341 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −1.14% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 4d8f88e0 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Pacific | −0.44% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 9c8abc48 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +5.31% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 7a5b4654 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +2.61% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 7053e6c1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | New England | +1.37% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 1b41ce55 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +3.11% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| c699e4b6 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +1.41% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| ff01986b | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Mountain | +0.53% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| d411b483 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +3.97% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| 7399c8f1 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +2.00% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 19075ba8 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | Middle Atlantic | +0.89% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 54a1ef5a | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +3.26% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| ceb0870d | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +1.56% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| d02994e2 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East South Central | +0.56% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
| 2339d9eb | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +3.23% | — | — | May 2027 | ~Jul 2027 | PENDING |
| a720b478 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +1.81% | — | — | Nov 2026 | ~Jan 2027 | PENDING |
| 57f28975 | Housing / US FORWARD GOVERNED RECORD | East North Central | +0.99% | — | — | Aug 2026 | ~Oct 2026 | PENDING |
TARGET PERIOD is the month a forecast is about; EXPECTED VERDICT is roughly when the statistics agency publishes that month's figure and the forecast can be graded. The gap between them is the publisher's reporting lag, not ours, and the tilde is there because they set that calendar. A forecast whose target period has passed is waiting, not overdue.
These are backtest results, migrated from v1 and shown as counts. They were fitted after the fact against data that already existed, so they are not evidence that a forecast made in advance will be right. They are never added to, averaged with, or shown as continuous with the forward ledger above.
Their completeness is unmeasured. v1 graded where its loop ran and matured, and no committed artifact states coverage per model, horizon or series — so an ungraded forecast in this set is not a miss, and the denominator of any rate over it is unestablished. One grade per forecast was additionally selected by physical row order during a 2026-06-20 dedup. That is why a count appears below and no rate does: not because the rate is unflattering, but because it would not mean anything.